This is the first in the "debunking collapse" installment.
So yeah, we all love Orlov. What he says about how the USSA is kinda just like the USSR was except well, without a good satellite launch platform, rings trueish. And some good old fashioned the world is ending now, Seldonism, is perhaps appropriate. The end is near! Like, don't back off the edge of the cliff dude.
Anyway, the purpose of this post isn't to describe the shape of how whatever thing wherever is dead wood and gonna move on. Instead we're going to look at some of the problems with the collapse theory. In particular let's look at Stage 5 Collapse on the Orlov timeline. Cultural collapse. Yeah yeah, ignore your Mad Max fantasy for a minute and just think if maybe some of this could be possible.
Reading some of this stuff gives me the feeling that maybe Orlov wouldn't be able to tell Tchaikovsky from Prokofiev, know what I'm saying? Bro, who has charms to sooth a savage breast?
Go out and hear a concert, watch people from different random backgrounds singing or playing songs together. Ideas out of their abilities in the score but hey, it works. We have instruments, repertoires, dances, and yeah psychedelic plants to help out. People will sing songs together through good times and bad. This stuff is not only the cure to Orlov's fifth collapse but is the bedrock of wetware that Asciilifeform seeks in software.
I don't really see Orlovian cultural collapse on the timeline do you? However, it's worth considering some eventualities. It appears that there will be a last ever human performance of a Verdi opera. Hard to wrap your mind around isn't it? I mean, it's not like people have sat down and said "The canonical Verdi opera is one adhering to 0.5.3 specifications".. but just like there will be a final block of bicoin mined, there will also be a last rendition of e.g. the Mozart Requiem. So, with a bang or with a whimper?
Anyway, to make a long story short Orlov's guitar is a mythical object kept by a prepper under lock and key in case of an emergency societal collapse situation. Mormons, please put one in your disaster storage.